Wednesday Weather Forecast

WED 04   6.45am
 
A forecast will be available for any boat returning this week or next week.
 
SITUATION
No significant change from the previous forecast.
High pressure close to Tasmania and trough/low pressure system on the central QLD coast – between these 2 weather systems there is an onshore SE flow for the northern half of the NSW coast and stronger SE flow onto the SE-E QLD coast. This pattern will change only slowly the next few days; over the weekend, the high pressure will move to the central Tasman Sea and the ridge from that high pressure will move north along the NSW coast and slowly the SE wind regime will shift to the E-NE. By Monday 9th, that ridge will be close to the far north coast of NSW and SE QLD with NE wind.
 
WEATHER  
A few showers, particularly morning and night
 
CURRENT 
strong adverse current near the coast around Smoky Cape and Cape Byron; strong adverse current out near the shelf elsewhere.
 
FORECAST
WED 04  
FORECAST (wind speed in knots is average, gusts will be higher, particularly around passing showers)
30S-27S
WIND  SW-S/10-15 in close to the coast early morning and SE/14-18 offshore and SSE-SE/20-25 north of Byron. SE/14-18 most places in the afternoon but SE/20-25 near the finish with SSE/16-22 near the finish tonight
WAVES  1.5m waves in close and 2m waves offshore and 1.5m SE swell
 

Shakti sets the record for the first ever Club Marine Pittwater to Southport Yacht Race

Doug Coulter’s Shakti from the Lake Macquarie Yacht Club have steamed their way up the New South Wales coast to set the record for the Royal Prince Alfred Yacht Club’s first ever Club Marine Pittwater to Southport Yacht Race with an official finish time of 0201 EDT on January 4, 2017 gave them an elapsed time of 36hrs, 46mins 07 seconds.

With winds going a little beyond the predicted strength Coulter was very happy with the 46-footer’s performance in the south to southeast breeze reaching top speeds of 23 knots and averaging 18 to 16 knots.

“We reached a top speed of around 23 knots but averaged around 18 – 16 knots most of the way up the coast.” Coulter said.

“The breeze was a little stronger than we expected which got us here pretty quickly” said the skipper early this morning, adding, “in some spots the gusts reached 30 knots.”

Coulter wasn’t too fazed when asked about setting the record but glad that all the preparation paid off with a great team effort and result given it was the boat’s first race to Southport.

Now the wait begins for the team to see if the gap of the rest of the finishing fleet is wide enough for them to maintain their IRC and ORC overall handicap lead. The outcome is one they have no control over as it depends how fast it takes to complete the 370 nautical mile ocean race that began on Monday at 1pm from Broken Bay.

Following in close second for the IRC handicap is the Royal Prince Alfred Yacht Club’s Le Billet which is currently just south of Tweed Heads. In close second for the ORC handicap is Phil Arnall’s Anger Management from the Newcastle Cruising Yacht Club.

Shakti Leads the Fleet to Southport

Doug Coulter’s Shakti has taken full advantage of the current weather pattern to launch their boat up the NSW coast overnight and maintain the lead in the first ever Club Marine Pittwater to Southport Yacht Race.

Shakti passed Coffs Harbour at around 8:30am this morning with gusts up to 27 knots from the south setting up a cruising speed of 14 knots.

Given the current weather pattern and their boat speed, Coulter is confident the 46-footer from Lake Macquarie will reach the finish line off Southport’s Main Beach by tonight, Tuesday January 3, 2017.

“If the breeze holds and we don’t run into any problems I’d say we’ll be finishing around 8pm or 9pm tonight,” Coulter said.

 “We’ve had around 20 plus knots pretty much all night,” said the skipper this morning, adding, “we had some little issues which slowed us down but we got them fixed.”

Shakti also leads the fleet on IRC and ORCi handicap.

Tuesday Weather report - 3 January

TUE 03 6.45am

A forecast will be available for any boat returning this week or next week.


SITUATION
No significant change from the previous forecast
The S change has cleared NSW coast and the race area; S wind turning SSE-SE today and generally SE direction tomorrow. The SE wind flow onto the NSW coast is between high pressure near Tasmania and low pressure trough on the central QLD coast. That pattern will be slow to change – the wind slowly easing from the south and slowly shifting left in direction from SSE to SE then ESE.

WEATHER
Frequent showers along the far north coast of NSW and SE QLD coast – scattered showers on the remainder of the NSW coast with little change in the pattern for the next 48 hrs.

CURRENT
strong adverse current near the coast around Smoky Cape and Cape Byron; strong adverse current out near the shelf elsewhere.

TUE 03
FORECAST (wind speed in knots is average, gusts will be higher, particularly around passing showers)
32S-30S
WIND SW-S/15-25 inshore and S/20-25 offshore in the morning. SSE-SE/15-20 inshore and offshore in the afternoon.
Easing to SE-S-SW/10-15 at night near the coast; remaining SE/14-18 offshore
WAVES 1.5-2m waves ; 1.5m SSE swell

30S-28S
WIND S-SE/24-28 easing to SE/20-25 at night
WAVES 1.5-2m waves; 1.5m SSE swell

Fast Club Marine Pittwater to Southport Yacht Race start

True to the forecast, a 15 knot southerly breeze had built to 20 knots by the time the Club Marine Pittwater to Southport fleet set off at 1pm on Monday January 2, 2017 from a long start line to the north of Palm Beach headland.
 
Doug Coulter’s Rogers 46 Shakti won the clean start and led the fleet into choppy seas at a blistering pace in what is shaping up to be a fast dash north, riding on the back of a southerly front that swept through Sydney this morning.
 
Three and a half hours later the Lake Macquarie entry was off Newcastle and had already covered 40 nautical miles, giving them an average speed of 11.4 knots. Closest to the front-runner was Phil Arnall’s Corby 43 Anger Management from Newcastle and the largest in the field, David Suttie’s Peklejus, a Radford 50 sailing for the organising club.
 
Based on current speed Shakti is capable of setting a course time of just 30 hours for the Royal Prince Alfred Yacht Club’s traditional New Year ocean race that will finish off Southport’s Main Beach.
 
Immediately after the final race and weather briefing at RPAYC on the start morning, Arnall said they were anticipating a 370 nautical mile downhill race ahead of 20-25 knot southerlies, then a sou’easter for the final leg to Coolangatta. “I don’t want to make excuses early but we like a little bit of upwind. We are all looking forward to a good downwind tussle with Shakti though, we are very good rivals with the Lake Macquarie boat,” Arnall said.

Tailwinds for Club Marine Pittwater to Southport Yacht Race

Like the Rolex Sydney Hobart fleet’s quick push south in record time, the Club Marine Pittwater to Southport line-up is set to also enjoy tailwinds after taking a left hand turn out of Broken Bay tomorrow.

The Royal Prince Alfred Yacht Club will set a start line to the north of Palm Beach headland at 1pm on Monday January 2, 2017 and send the fleet to cover a course length of 370 nautical miles to the Queensland Gold Coast and Southport Yacht Club, which will welcome and host close to 200 sailors.

Bureau of Meteorology weather services manager Jane Golding says a front is expected to run up the NSW coast passing Sydney later afternoon or evening on Sunday January 1, 2017, followed by a spell of SE winds that will hit the NSW coastline.

A high pressure system is likely to follow the front and at the same time a tropical monsoon trough and low pressure will be on the central QLD coast. Between these two weather systems the SE wind will be stronger on the northern NSW coast.

Respected yachting meteorologist  Roger Badham is supporting the Bureau in terms of supplying specialised race forecasts and he’s predicting a fast race with S-SE winds of 20-25kts easing to 10-15kts on the Hunter and Mid North Coast and likely to remain SE 20-25kts at the NSW-QLD border areas.

This is great news for the lightweight, wide and the planing boats that love running-reaching conditions, and not so great for the narrower and heavier hulls that sail closer to their handicap rating when pushing into headwinds.

Skipper of the Elliott 10.5 High Anxiety, Marcus Grimes, said, “We would be ecstatic if ‘Clouds’ Badham's forecast holds and the more east in the southerly the better, to help us against the symmetrical boats. Our sweet spot is broad reaching. 

Weather Forecast - Sunday 1 January

SUN 01   8am

Forecast for the the Pittwater to Southport race; it will be updated tomorrow, MON 02 at around 7am

The forecast will be sent by email and a second email will include some routeing for yachts of around 38 feet, 40 feet and 42 feet.

If you want to receive some grib files for the race area, then please let me know.

SITUATION

SUN 01  Softer SE-NE in the morning and NE/10-15 afternoon. A few showers developing during the afternoon.

RACE SUMMARY

MON 02 

A S change of 25-30 kts expected to run up the NSW coast early morning passing Sydney at around 6am

Wind S/20-25 on the coast that afternoon with S-SSE/25-30 offshore.

The front will be most active with showers and local thunderstorms during the later afternoon and night when on the north coast of NSW.

Saturday 31 Weather Report

SAT 31   8am

Forecast for the the Pittwater to Southport race; it will be updated tomorrow, SUN 01, in the morning and then on the morning of the race start on TUE 02 by 7am

SITUATION

SAT 31   A weak S-SE change this morning and a few thunderstorms, mostly inland, this afternoon and evening. 

SUN 01  Softer SW-SE in the morning with showers on coast and also inland. Wind will shift back to the NE-N tomorrow afternoon.Sat

MON 02 

A strong S change of 20-30 kts expected to run up the NSW coast early morning.

Wind S-SE/20-25 on the coast that afternoon with S-SSE/25-30 offshore.

The front will be most active with showers and local thunderstorms during the later afternoon and night when on the north coast of NSW.

Long Range Weather Outlook Predicts a Fast Race

Roger Badham's prediciting a good southerly breeze for the Club Marine Pittwater to Southport Yacht Race. It's unseasonable to have this weather pattern but for the competitors it will be a major welcome making it a fast race which should see some spectacular sailing! 

SITUATION

A front is expected run up the NSW coast passing Sydney later afternoon/evening on Sunday 1st followed by a spell of SE winds onto the NSW coast.

The front is expected to move up all the NSW coast.  

High pressure will follow the front to Bass St and at the same time a tropical monsoon trough and low pressure will be on the central QLD coast.

Between these 2 weather systems, The SE wind will be stronger on the north NSW coast during the race period.

 

FORECAST  (weather, rain, wind, sea)

MON 02   

SYDNEY-HUNTER: fairly cloudy, shower or 2, SE/15-20, 2m sea/swell

 

TUE 03  

MID NORTH COAST:  partly cloudy, shower or 2, SE/12-16

FAR NORTH COAST:  partly cloudy, shower or 2, SE/15-20 

SE QLD:  mostly cloudy, few showers, SE/20-25

 

WED 04

FAR NORTH COAST:  mostly cloudy, few showers, SE/20-25

SE QLD: cloudy, rain, SE/20-25

 

THU 05

SE QLD:  cloudy with rain and possible thunderstorms

Weather advice from world renowned meteorologist Roger Badham.

This year’s Club Marine Pittwater to Southport Yacht Race will feature a daily weather report three days prior to the start provided by world renowned meteorologist, Dr Roger Badham or “Clouds” as he is known in sailing circles.

Complementary to the Bureau of Meteorology’s overall weather forecast, competitors will have access to these tailored reports from Roger’s 40 years of expertise in studying weather patterns of the east coast of Australia.

 “I’ve worked with the RPAYC and the Coffs Race for around 40 years, racing to Southport will present added challenges so it will be well worth doing some extra homework for the race.” said Roger.

Trying to juggle wind forecasts, weather patterns, warm water currents and potentially dodging summer storms can cause headaches for the competitors. Having a plethora of weather information readily available can make it tough filtering through all the content to make the right decisions.Sunset. photo by High AnxietySunset. photo by High Anxiety

Roger’s reports aim to take this guesswork out the equation and simplifies the information with a directional approach providing competitors with topics to focus on paying particular attention to the course of the race.

 

 

Pittwater to Southport

 

The Pittwater to Paradise Regatta will be starting on Sydney's Pittwater,  1 hour drive north from Sydney's CBD on January 2, 2018 and run through to 9 January, 2018.

The ocean race offers competitors a strategic challenge as they race between the surfline and the current, past unsurpassed scenic coastlines, prior to arriving in one of Queensland's most popular coastal cities. Once on the Gold Coast boats will enjoy a four day series regatta hosted by the Southport Yacht Club.

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Contacts

 

The Royal Prince Alfred Yacht Club
E: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
T: 02 9998 3700
A: 16 Mitala St, Newport 2106 Australia
W: www.rpayc.com.au

Southport Yacht Club
E:This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
T: 02 6652 4390
A: 1 Macarthur Pde, Main Beach, Queensland, 4217 
W: www.southportyachtclub.com.au