SUN 01 8am
Forecast for the the Pittwater to Southport race; it will be updated tomorrow, MON 02 at around 7am
The forecast will be sent by email and a second email will include some routeing for yachts of around 38 feet, 40 feet and 42 feet.
If you want to receive some grib files for the race area, then please let me know.
SUN 01 Softer SE-NE in the morning and NE/10-15 afternoon. A few showers developing during the afternoon.
A S change of 25-30 kts expected to run up the NSW coast early morning passing Sydney at around 6am
Wind S/20-25 on the coast that afternoon with S-SSE/25-30 offshore.
The front will be most active with showers and local thunderstorms during the later afternoon and night when on the north coast of NSW.
The S change will reach the far north coast of NSW early morning with S-SSE/20-30.
The band of frequent showers and thunderstorms will move north of Southport during the morning
Behind the front, the wind will be SW-S/15-25 on MON night/early hours of TUE morning, then S-SE/15-25 during TUE afternoon and also TUE night.
A few showers will persist with the S-SE winds behind the front.
SE/15-20 on the NSW north coast; SE/20-25 on the far north coast of NSW and SE QLD.
An active tropical/monsoon trough and possible low pressure may move south to be located close to Fraser Island – that will assist in keeping the wind speed at 20-25 kts on the far north coast of NSW and SE QLD.
SE/15-25 onto the far north coast of NSW and SE QLD coast.
MON 02 PITTWATER to MID NORTH COAST
SITUATION: S/25-30 front to pass Sydney around 6am and be north of Coffs later that night.
WIND S/23-27 outside Pittwater at the start; S-SSE/20-25 near the coast later afternoon and night and SSE/25-30 offshore.
WEATHER a band of rain with possible heavier showers – the rain becoming more widespread late in the day and overnight when the front is on the NSW north coast. Shower or 2 behind the front.
WAVES 1.5m then 2m waves on a 1m S-SSE swell increasing to 2m
CURRENT strong adverse current offshore from Sydney and again north of Crowdy Head – with strong adverse current flooding to near the coast at Smoky Cape.
TUE 03 LOWER MID NORTH COAST to SE QLD:
SITUATION: S front on the far north coast of NSW early morning clearing the Brisbane area that morning.
WIND SW-S/15-25 in close to the coast in the morning and S/20-25 afternoon. Easing to SSE-SE/15-20 south of Smoky Cape in the afternoon/night. SSE-SE/20-30 north of Smoky Cape then SE/20-25 at night.
WEATHER frequent and heavier showers contracting north of Southport; fairly cloudy most of the NSW coast with a shower or 2
WAVES 1-2m waves close to coast; 2-2.5m waves offshore; 2m SSE swell
CURRENT strong adverse current near the coast around Smoky Cape and Cape Byron; strong adverse current out near the shelf elsewhere.
WED 04 FAR NORTH COAST and SE QLD
SITUATION SE then ESE flow onto northern half of NSW coast – strongest onto the far north coast NSW and SE QLD.
WIND SE/20-25 far north coast of NSW and SE QLD
WEATHER mostly cloudy with a few showers – showers more frequent far north coast of NSW-SE QLD.
WAVES 1-2m waves and 2m SE-ESE swell
CURRENT strong adverse current – closest to the coast near Smoky Cape and also Cape Byron.
THU 05 FAR NORTH COAST and SE QLD
SITUATION SE-ESE flow onto the SE QLD coast between high pressure over the south Tasman Sea and an active monsoon trough/low on the coast north of Fraser Island.
WEATHER mostly cloudy with a few showers
WAVES 1-2m waves and 1.5m ESE swell
CURRENT strong adverse current near Byron and all areas out near the shelf.