Preliminary Forecast of the Pittwater to Paradise race

THU 28

SITUATION    

This spring and summer have been far from ‘average’ - whatever average really means!

Very dry spring and now a weak La Nina with extremely warm air over inland Australia. We had very few S wind changes move up the NSW coast during November – this morning has seen a few S changes - but true frontal related S changes remain below average and the S wind changes have been associated more with the movement of the heat trough – inland and then coming to the coast.

A southerly wind change is expected up along the NSW coast on New Years Day. S-SE winds are expected on TUE 2nd with high pressure back over the Bight and a heat trough over northern NSW and SE QLD. The high pressure is expected to shift east and develop a centre off E coast of TAS during WED 3rd while the trough remains over NE NSW and SE QLD. The situation is slow to change over the following 2 days; the high tracking east over the southern Tasman Sea and the trough system slowly pulling back to inland QLD. Onshore SE-E wind expected to persist along the north coast of NSW and SE coast of QLD across the race period.

Forecast models are in quite good agreement, but vary in some of the detail – expected when this far out from the race.

FORECAST

TUE 02

WIND  S-SSE/16-22 settling SE/15-20 during the day easing to SE/10-15 at night.

WAVES  NA

WEATHER  fairly cloudy with a morning shower or 2.

WED 03

WIND  SE-E/12-16

WAVES  NA

WEATHER  mostly cloudy with a few showers at the coast – more showers/T’storms inland over NE NSW.

 

THU 04

WIND  S-SE/14-18

WAVES  NA

WEATHER  mostly cloudy with more frequent showers at the coast – showers/T’storms inland.

 

FRI 05

WIND  S-SE/15-20

WAVES NA

WEATHER  fairly cloudy – a few showers

END

 

DR Roger Badham

 

 

Pittwater to Southport

 

The Pittwater to Paradise Regatta will be starting on Sydney's Pittwater,  1 hour drive north from Sydney's CBD on January 2, 2019 and run through to 9 January, 2019.

The ocean race offers competitors a strategic challenge as they race between the surfline and the current, past unsurpassed scenic coastlines, prior to arriving in one of Queensland's most popular coastal cities. Once on the Gold Coast boats will enjoy a four day series regatta hosted by the Southport Yacht Club.

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Contacts

 

The Royal Prince Alfred Yacht Club
E: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
T: 02 9998 3700
A: 16 Mitala St, Newport 2106 Australia
W: www.rpayc.com.au

Southport Yacht Club
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T: 02 6652 4390
A: 1 Macarthur Pde, Main Beach, Queensland, 4217 
W: www.southportyachtclub.com.au